Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 63.485069 71.771719 80.308473 89.729525 99.804953 110.228938 121.800237
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 50.590867 62.361522 75.099068 89.781662 106.118191 123.624754 143.692271
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 42.921290 56.545157 71.840370 90.025823 110.812713 133.607584 160.273826
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 37.440093 52.370413 69.683900 90.816166 115.511108 143.093478 175.875087
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 32.122588 47.728489 66.411946 89.792440 117.678192 149.344787 187.511024
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 28.895673 45.276341 65.433911 91.189794 122.423106 158.362543 202.156408
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 26.340929 43.396742 64.926584 92.956628 127.448958 167.595062 216.975627
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 22.999854 40.148891 62.428775 92.039146 129.054214 172.660928 226.825494
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.580312 36.455884 59.079379 89.807978 128.850279 175.413351 233.819393
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.609325 36.131795 60.097442 93.092165 135.431115 186.299880 250.479514
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 17.408912 35.351679 60.414793 95.404928 140.758777 195.655662 265.321038
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 15.251087 32.923421 58.314501 94.413430 141.812982 199.728192 273.762210
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 13.212983 30.504283 56.110123 93.210934 142.573297 203.461098 281.863605
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.776834 28.912666 54.983581 93.386193 145.059879 209.310045 292.546617
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.507360 27.461495 53.959079 93.618988 147.561145 215.138940 303.185362
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.506964 26.370288 53.393547 94.431140 150.785733 221.857459 314.918915
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.185093 24.532264 51.573762 93.382003 151.469404 225.315600 322.587071
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.521094 23.862631 51.517554 94.813584 155.453833 232.967501 335.481846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.988939 23.391971 51.739007 96.623338 159.940493 241.267737 349.207402
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.995303 21.840847 50.126216 95.683605 160.639362 244.667399 356.771956
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.892062 19.862416 47.676460 93.397965 159.409030 245.510444 361.069285
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.779112 20.118647 48.991615 96.762156 166.002612 256.548342 378.296451
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.522743 20.002355 49.652138 99.130610 171.217561 265.802911 393.289372